Your system
The $5,000 rule, and its limits
Multiply the system's age by the repair quote. If the result is above about $5,000, replacement usually deserves a serious look; below it, repair is usually the better value. It is a rule of thumb, not a law, and it ignores some important things:
- Expected life. Central ACs and heat pumps commonly last around 12–17 years; gas furnaces often 15–25.
- Refrigerant. R-22 production and import ended in the US in 2020, so recharging an old R-22 system means using reclaimed or stockpiled refrigerant, which is expensive.
- Warranty. A compressor failure on a 6-year-old unit may be covered for parts; check before deciding.
- Matched systems. Replacing only the outdoor unit on an older system can cut efficiency and void warranties.




